The NFL season begins this week with action featuring all 32 teams in an exciting weekend of play. We’ll help you choose the best individual prop bets for the 2020 NFL Season to get you ready.
The curtain on the 2020 NFL season draws this Thursday and continues through a full slate of games on Sunday and Monday. Before it all starts, there is still time to get your wagers in on all the season-long action. With that in mind, we’re here to tell you what we believe are the best individual prop bets for the 2020 NFL season.
It has been a long offseason, one where there was a lot of doubt cast about whether or not we would even see the start of a new NFL campaign. The fact that we have reached this point is a triumph all its own. Now it’s time to try to look past the uncertainty and get down to business.
The season opens up on Thursday night with the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Houston Texans. That sets the table for 13 games this coming Sunday. Week 1 rounds out with a pair of games on Monday night.
Football bettors often like to take it a game at a time during the season, concentrating on the ebb and flow of the action and looking at team matchups. But in the case of season-long prop bets, the time is running out to get in on that action. And you’re missing out if you haven’t tried prop bets before.
Many bettors think of these proposition wagers in terms of team bets. In other words, you might bet on a team based an over/under total placed on how many wins they might accumulate in a season. These wagers are popular for people who think they have a clear idea about a team’s fortunes.
The Advantages of NFL Prop Betting
But the realm of individual player prop bets for NFL action can be quite beneficial as well. Those who play fantasy football are already used to speculating on how individual players might perform. Prop bets take this a step further by narrowing it down to the statistics of one player in over/under fashion.
There might be a certain running back whose over/under for the season for rushing yards is placed at 1,000 yards. At the end of the season, wherever his total stands, over or under, will determine the winning bets. It’s a pretty simple system and one that is easy to understand if you’re just making these types of bets for the first time.
The issue is that there so many of these possible wagers available to you that it can be quite confusing. Your best strategy should be to narrow it down and focus on the ones that you really feel strongly about. If you overdo it and make too many of these wagers, it could be a case where you’re actually hurting your chances by making bets which you haven’t properly researched.
To help you out in this task, we thought we’d get you started by narrowing it down a bit. In this article, we’ll be taking a look at one individual prop bet for the 2020 NFL season for a player on each of the 32 teams in the league. We’ll even give you a prediction as to which way we think the bet will go, so that you can use that advise to make the most profitable wagers possible.
2020 NFL Season Individual Prop Bets
Arizona Cardinals: Kyler Murray
Over 3,950 ½ passing yards (-150)
Under 3,950 ½ passing yards (+110)
The oddsmakers are trying to push you into taking the under here by giving you the more favorable odds to do so. And you might be tempted to take that bet. After all, Murray only threw for 3,722 yards as a rookie, despite starting all 16 games.
First of all, you have to take into account the expected improvement he’ll have heading into his second year, having had a lot of time to digest Kliff Kingsbury’s complex offense. Murray will cut into his passing yards by rushing a lot instead of dumping it off. But this is not like Baltimore, where the Ravens think run-first with Lamar Jackson; Kingsbury wants the ball in the air.
To that end, the Cardinals traded for DeAndre Hopkins in the offseason. Just like that, Murray’s receiving corps goes from questionable to stout. Murray should sail by the 3,950 total with room to spare, making this a pretty safe play, even with the less-than-desirable odds.
Kyler Murray: 3,950.5 Passing Yards –Over (-150)
Atlanta Falcons: Julio Jones
Over 1,349 ½ receiving yards (-115)
Under 1,349 ½ receiving yards (-125)
Jones has been the model of consistency and durability in his time in Atlanta. Over the past six seasons, Julio has missed just four games. And during that time, his lowest receiving yardage total was last year, when he came in at 1,394.
But that injury luck is bound to run out at some point. If Jones were to miss even two games, he’d have to average nearly 100 yards per game to stay on the pace he’d need to make the over. That is a tough hurdle to clear.
The main reason that he could be headed for a surprising under this year is that the Atlanta Falcons seem to be looking to run the ball more often, after they were way unbalanced toward the pass a year ago. That would also weigh on Jones’ total. Throw in the fact that he is now just a little past what would normally be considered a receiver’s prime, and this seems like a good year to fade him, as great as he is.
Julio Jones: 1,349.5 Receiving Yards –Under (-125)
Baltimore Ravens: Mark Andrews
Over 64 ½ receptions (-120)
Under 64 ½ receptions (-120)
Lost somewhat in the amazing season that Lamar Jackson posted for the Ravens in 2019 was the breakout for Andrews. He had shown signs in his rookie year, but he took it another level. Andrews was especially tough in the red zone, as he nabbed 10 touchdown receptions.
Andrews posted 64 receptions a year ago, which is right on the number to where the over/under is set for his 2020 campaign. Those numbers came in a year where the Ravens were often working on comfortable leads and didn’t often have to throw that much. If they play a few more competitive games this year, it could be a case where Andrews gets a lot more opportunities.
On top of that, Andrews just doesn’t have that many competitors for targets for receptions. The Ravens top receiver, Marquise Brown, is more of a deep threat (and an injury-prone on that.) In addition, Andrews won’t have to share time with departed tight end Hayden Hurst anymore, which all adds up to the third-year star improving on his numbers.
Mark Andrews: 64.5 Receptions-Over (-120)
Buffalo Bills: Stefon Diggs
Over 975 ½ receiving yards (+130)
Under 975 ½ receiving yards (-170)
There are a lot of red flags that with Diggs that might push you to the under, which is where the odds are taking you anyway. Receivers switching teams often see their productivity dwindle. And the Bills have all their top targets back from a year ago, which means that Diggs would have to muscle them out to get near 1,000 yards.
But this is a guy who has gone over the projected number in each of the last two seasons. That despite the fact that he had to share with Adam Thielen and was dealing with a team, like Buffalo, that prefers the run-first approach. Diggs also has a reputation for injuries, but he has never missed more than three games in a season (although he has missed at least one in every year.)
Josh Allen might not be the most accurate deep passer, but you could also make the argument he hasn’t had a guy as good as Diggs to target. The Bills gave up a lot of draft capital to execute the trade to get Diggs. As a result, you would habe to believe they’re going to feature him in the offense.
Stefon Diggs: 975.5 Receiving Yards –Over (+130)
Carolina Panthers: Teddy Bridgewater
Over 3,500 ½ passing yards (-120)
Under 3,500 ½ passing yards (-120)
It’s a great story that Bridgewater has worked his way back into a starting role in the NFL. After his terrible injury luck in Minnesota, such an outcome always seemed like a long shot. But his good play in relief of Drew Brees last year earned him his place.
Putting up nice numbers in New Orleans is one thing, but doing it in Carolina Panthers might be another. Granted, there are some nice weapons in Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore. But Bridgewater will also be throwing behind a patchwork offensive line, which won’t make it easy for him to come up with chunk plays.
But the real concern here is that Bridgewater won’t play all 16 games. He seems an odd fit for new coach Matt Rhule’s desired style of play. If Carolina struggles, which they are almost certain to do, they might be trying out other options at the position.
It seems like Robinson has been around forever, but, in actuality, this is still only his age-27 season. Robinson needed 2018 to work out the kinks after returning from a major knee injury. Last year, he didn’t miss a game and banked 1,147 yards, the second-best total of his career.
You might not like the idea of expecting a Bears receiver to put up big numbers. But keep in mind that Robinson is almost the only game in town, in terms of targets. If Mitchell Trubisky can add a little more accuracy (and maybe he has after beating out Nick Foles for the starting role in Chicago), Robinson can convert a lot more of the targets.
One wonders what Robinson might be able to do in a top passing offense. But there is nothing to say that he can’t match what he did a year ago, especially with the Bears still relying largely on him as both their downfield threat and their possession receiver. As a matter of fact, he could actually end up with more yards in 2020.
Allen Robinson II: 1,099.5 Receiving Yards –Over (-125)
Cincinnati Bengals: Tyler Boyd
Over 5 ½ receiving touchdowns (-120)
Under 5 ½ receiving touchdowns (-120)
For the first two years of his career, Boyd looked like a second-round bust. But the light came on in his 2018 season for the Bengals, as he racked up over 1,000 yards receiving. He added another 1,000-yard campaign in 2019, despite playing half the year with subpar quarterback play.
Betting on touchdowns scored as a prop wager is a pretty tricky business, considering how much luck is involved. But Boyd has racked up 7 and 5 the last two years with offenses that weren’t very good. The hope is, with Joe Burrow taking charge, Cincy will have a much better attach this year, giving Boyd more chances to score.
Don’t be fooled into thinking A.J. Green’s return from injury will hurt Boyd. If anything, it will keep defenses honest, allowing Boyd to do more damage than he did a year ago while Green was hurt. When you add in the fact that Burrow loves targeting the slot, it seems a cinch that Boyd is headed for a career year in all departments.
Tyler Boyd: Over 5.5 Receiving Touchdowns –Over (-120)
Cleveland Browns: Nick Chubb
Over 1,275 ½ rushing yards (-120)
Under 1,275 ½ rushing yards (-120)
Why would a guy who rumbled for 1,494 yards in just his second NFL season be expected to take a hit to his total of over 200 yards? It all has to do with the presence of Kareem Hunt to take some of the touches away from Chubb. When Hunt played in the second half of last year after returning from suspension, he did indeed cut into Chubb’s numbers.
But most of that effect had to do with the passing game. Before Hunt was there, Chubb was also getting most of the reps for Cleveland on third downs. His usage on the first two downs this season shouldn’t suffer at all.
Remember that the Browns hired Kevin Stefanski as their coach, a guy who turned Minnesota into a running-game powerhouse a year ago. That means that, even if Hunt siphons off a few carries here and there, Chubb should still get his. The Browns also have an improved offensive line, which should allow Chubb to do more with the carries that he gets.
Nick Chubb: 1,275.5 Rushing Yards –Over (-120)
Dallas Cowboys: CeeDee Lamb
Over 750 ½ receiving yards (-115)
Under 750 ½ receiving yards (-125)
Perhaps it’s not wise to judge any of the top rookies in the upcoming 2020 NFL season without seeing them first. Without preseason games to give us a clue, we really are flying blind. But in the case of Lamb, there is a statistical window where he fits that can help us out.
The main issue with Lamb will be having to share so many touches with others. You could make the case that Lamb will simply replace the production that Randall Cobb had last year as the Cowboys’ third receiver. But Cobb is a crafty veteran who knows how to work in the slots, something that Lamb might have to learn on the fly.
In addition, there are arguments to be made that both backup running back Tony Pollard and new tight end Blake Jarwin will be on the receiving end more this season. The Cowboys will have to satisfy all these bodies while trying to slow the pace down once again to the pace that they prefer. As a result, Lamb’s initial stats could be lacking.
CeeDee Lamb: 750.5 receiving yards –Under (-125)
Denver Broncos: Drew Lock
Over 3,375 ½ passing yards (-120)
Under 3,375 ½ passing yards (-120)
Entering his first full season as the Denver Broncos starter, Lock has been saddled with a very modest over/under total. In the five games he started a year ago, Luck averaged 2,04 yards per game. And, if you extrapolated that over a full 16-game season, he’d be looking at only 3,264 yards, which would put him under the number.
But this year’s Broncos feature far more weapons for Lock to utilize thanks to a busy offseason. Rookie receiver Jerry Jeudy provides an excellent compliment to Courtland Sutton, while the addition of Melvin Gordon gives Lock an excellent receiver out of the backfield as well. There won’t be as much reason for the Broncos to play it safe.
And, considering the news this week that Von Miller will miss most if not all of the season with injury, they might not be able to play it safe. Miller is the most important players on the Broncos’ defense, so his loss means that they’re going to have a much harder time stopping people. That means Lock airing it out much more and sailing past the set number.
Drew Lock: 3,375.5 Passing Yards –Over (-120)
Detroit Lions: Matthew Stafford
Over 4,150 ½ passing yards (-130)
Under 4,150 ½ passing yards (-110)
Stafford was in the midst of one of his finest seasons ever last year, averaging over 300 yards a game, when he was felled by injury. That was ironic, because Stafford was previously known for his durability, having not missed a game since 2010 until last year. Now he enters 2020 with the uncertainty of a back injury.
It’s true that all reports have been positive that Stafford is back to full health. But the possibility that there could be a lingering effect is a bit worrisome when you look at the high over/under number. If he should miss a game or two for maintenance, there could be issues with him maintaining that statistical pace.
Don’t be surprised if the Lions double down on establishing a running game this year. Even though rookie DeAndre Swift is banged up, his presence could mean a more balanced approach, especially in the second half of the year. Stafford and the Lions would be a better team if he didn’t have to throw as much.
Matthew Stafford: 4,150.5 Passing Yards –Under (-110)
Green Bay Packers: Aaron Rodgers
Over 3,899 ½ yards (-120)
Under 3,899 ½ yards (-120)
In the dozen years since he has been the Packers’ starting quarterback, Rodgers has started at least 15 games ten times. Out of all those seasons, only once did he come up with less than 3,899 passing yards (2015.) Yet the over/under has been set there.
Even in 2019, which seemed like a pretty tame year by Rodgers’ standards as the Packers’ built around the run game of Aaron Jones, Rodgers still topped the 4,000-yard mark. If that was a down year, you would think the up year would put him in pretty good shape.
There are a lot of Rodgers’ doubters, and yet the evidence seems to suggest that even a mediocre season will put him over the mark. Plus, the feeling is that Rodgers, to prove people that he hasn’t tailed off, could be gearing up for a monster comeback year. This seems like one of the easiest bets on the board.
Aaron Rodgers: 3,899.5 yards –Over (-120)
Houston Texans: Deshaun Watson
Over 4,099 ½ passing yards (-105)
Under 4,099 ½ passing yards (-135)
The perception of Watson is that he’s one of the most productive quarterbacks around. When you add in his running ability, that is definitely true. But in terms of his pure passing, he isn’t as potent as you might think.
In his career to this point, he’s averaged 255.7 passing yards per game. If you multiply that over a 16-game season, you’re looking at 4,091 passing yards. In other words, that would put him under the total we listed above.
That is assuming 16 games played, which, for a player with Watson’s scrambling style, is a big assumption. Now add in the fact that Watson no longer has his top target, DeAndre Hopkins. It all leads to a scenario where Watson disappoints in terms of his passing yardage this year.
In a lot of these cases, it’s important to bet the situation and not the name. It might be tempting to see Rivers’ name and assume he’ll be throwing a bunch like he tends to do. Rivers has topped to total listed above in nine of the past ten seasons.
But he also produced diminishing returns while doing so, especially last year as his interception numbers soared. The Indianapolis Colts didn’t sign him to be a gunslinger. With the defense and the running game that they have in place, they want him to manage the game.
Rivers also lacks the receiving weapons he had at his disposal with the Chargers. The Colts best threat is T.Y. Hilton, a guy who is more a deep threat. The deep ball isn’t Rivers’ strong point at this time in his career, which is just another reason to think that his numbers will drop.
Philip Rivers: 4,099.5 Passing Yards-Under (-120)
Jacksonville Jaguars: Gardner Misnhew
Over 3,499 ½ passing yards (+105)
Under 3,499 ½ passing yards (-135)
Yes, the Jaguars are in sell-off mode, with the departures of some of their key veteran components just in the last few weeks. But very quietly, they’ve added some nice weapons for Minshew in the passing game. Chris Thompson is a premier receiving back, Tyler Eifert is a much better tight end weapon than what they had a year ago, and rookie Laviska Shenault Jr. can contribute.
On top of that, D.J. Chark looks like a budding superstar on the outside. Minshew averaged over 233 yards passing per game a year ago with a weaker supporting cast. All signs point to him enjoying greater success this year.
The real key here is the fact that Jacksonville figures to be losing early and often in games. That means that Minshew will be in passing mode early on in most contests. Barring an injury, he should have no problems meeting the standard listed above, which will get you better than even-money in return and makes this one to emphasize as you manage your bankroll.
Hill battled through injuries as year ago, while also dealing with the possibility of a suspension that never came. As a result, he wasn’t quite as dynamic as he usually can be. That’s a pretty high standard, of course, as most receivers would love to be able to rack up 860 yards in 12 games as Hill did a year ago.
By the time the playoffs rolled around, he was once again at his ultra-dynamic self. That’s important to note, because the playoffs were also when Pat Mahomes finally seemed to shale off the injuries that had been hounding him. Hill’s somewhat muted production earlier in the year could have had a lot to do with that as well.
In 2018, Hill carved up the league for over 1,400 yards in Mahomes’ first season as starter. There is no reason to think that they can’t approach that production again now that everyone is firing on all cylinders. Hill should be one of the top five receivers, statistics-wise, this season without a doubt.
Tyreek Hill: 1,110.5 Receiving Yards –Over (-120)
Las Vegas Raiders: Henry Ruggs
Over 740 ½ receiving yards (-120)
Under 740 ½ receiving yards (-120)
740 yards doesn’t seem like too tough a hurdle to climb, especially for a guy with the explosive nature of Ruggs. But there are a lot of issues here which could complicate the matter. First of all, there are the worries about a rookie hitting the ground running without much game preparation in this NFL season unlike no other.
In addition, the Raiders seem like a team that is going to try to drop its passing volume. With Josh Jacobs running behind a tough offensive line, Las Vegas can do their defense a favor by grinding it out. Even though Jon Gruden has a reputation as an air-it-out type, he is going with the winds of change in the NFL to the running game.
Finally, Ruggs made his bones at Alabama with his deep routes. In Derek Carr, the Raiders have a quarterback who is somewhat allergic to throwing deep. Even though Ruggs should get ample playing time, he might not have the volume to get to the number.
Henry Ruggs: 740.5 Receiving Yards –Under (-120)
Los Angeles Chargers: Hunter Henry
Over 624 ½ receiving yards (-120)
Under 624 ½ receiving yards (-120)
625 yards might not seem like too much for a tight end of Henry’s caliber to handle. It’s less than 40 yards per game receiving, after all. But it becomes a bit more problematic when you’re not on the field, which has always been an issue for Henry.
He missed all of 2018 with an injury, so it almost doesn’t feel fair to count that against him. In his other three seasons, he has played 41 out of 48 games. It’s not the picture of health, but it’s also not as bad as some would have you believe.
And here’s the thing about Henry: even while missing four games last year, he still would have hit the over at the number above. He is far more involved in his team’s offense than most tight ends, especially with Mike Williams banged up. Even if you project him to miss a few, Henry still seems like a safe bet to exceed his expectations.
Hunter Henry: 624.5 Receiving Yards-Over (-120)
Los Angeles Rams: Cooper Kupp
Over 1,099 ½ receiving yards (-120)
Under 1,099 ½ receiving yards (-120)
Kupp rolled up 1,161 receiving yards a year ago in his third NFL season, even as he dealt with injuries. Injuries have been a part of his early career though, as he has suited up in 39 of 48 contests. His diminutive stature makes him a bit more susceptible to nicks than others.
But it’s the not the injury factor that has us worried about Kupp. It’s the fact that the team dropped his usage significantly in the second half of 2019, thanks to a move to a two-tight end approach and the emergence of Tyler Higbee that seemed to give Jared Goff more comfort behind center. As a result, it’s possible that more of the same will be coming this year.
If Kupp’s targets drop off, reaching 1,100 yards per receiving will be tough. As a guy who works the slot, he’s not one to rack up a ton of yards per catch. We think he could end up a bit wanting in the yardage department at the end of this season.
Cooper Kupp: 1,099.5 Receiving Yards-Under (-120)
Miami Dolphins: Devante Parker
Over 1,090 ½ receiving yards (-115)
Under 1,090 ½ receiving yards (-125)
Parker’s emergence last year was one of the few bright spots for the Miami Dolphins in another lost season. After struggling for any consistency in the first five years of his career, he suddenly came alive with 1,202 yards receiving. He really did damage in the second half of the season, gaining attention for torching NFL Defensive Player of the Year at season’s end.
But Parker did a lot of that damage with his counterpart Preston Williams on the sideline. While Williams was healthy in the first half of the season, Parker’s numbers were more muted. It’s possible that the Dolphins have enough firepower for two 1,000-yard receivers, but not likely.
Miami could be dealing with a transition at quarterback as well, which could also slow the offense. Parker has the skills to continue being a major threat. But this season could be a slight step back as some of Miami’s variables settle themselves.
In his four seasons leading up to 2019, Cousins soared past 4,000 yards each year. But last year, that number plummeted to 3,603, as the Vikings turned to a run-based approach that suited their personnel and kept Cousins efficiency high. That’s why you see the number above is a bit modest.
The Vikings were able to play that manner a year ago because their defense allowed them to do so. But that may not be the case this year. Their cornerbacks are all young and untested, the interior of their line lacks proven players, and now Danielle Hunter, their supreme pass rusher, will miss time on IR.
Put it all together and you have more game scripts where Cousins is forced to go to the air. The Vikings have given him some weapons to compensate for losing Stefon Diggs. Cousins could go back to his old high-volume, low-efficiency ways.
Kirk Cousins: 3,750.5 Passing Yards –Over (-125)
New England Patriots: James White
Over 62 ½ receptions (-120)
Under 62 ½ receptions (-120)
Although it seems like he’s a grizzled veteran due to all the postseason face time he has received, White is only in his age 29 year, so it’s not like he’s washed up. He has totaled 159 receptions over the last two years. During that time, he has greatly benefitted from the dwindling options at receiver that New England has put forth.
The lack of good receiving options is certainly still in play. But there is a question about whether or not White will be the recipient of quite so many passes this year. And that’s because of the guy throwing him the ball.
Whereas Tom Brady was immobile and had to rely on the short, dump-off style pass when pressure arrived, Cam Newton can scramble out of it. White will still get his share on designed routes. But the lack of the outlet style passes could mean that his receiving numbers dip significantly.
James White: 62.5 Receptions-Under (-120)
New Orleans Saints: Alvin Kamara
Over 905 ½ rushing yards (-120)
Under 905 ½ rushing yards (-120)
Kamara suffered through a down season in 2019, struggling with his efficiency. Injuries were likely the culprit, as he let on after the season how much his aches and pains were bothering him. It feels like you could pretty much write off what happened last year when discussing Kamara.
The 905 yards doesn’t seem like all that much when you’re talking about a top-flight back like Kamara. But you have to remember that he hasn’t reached that total in any of his three seasons to this point. Kamara is more of an all-purpose back who can hurt you both on the run and catching passes out of the backfield.
Could this be the year that he beefs up his running totals some? The Saints do have an impressive offensive line, as well as a defense that could be among one of the league’s best, which would mean more game scripts tending toward running the football. What would certainly help is if they sign him to a long-term contract, in which case they’ll be handing it to him often to get their money’s worth.
Alvin Kamara: 905.5 Rushing Yards-Over (-120)
New York Giants: Saquon Barkley
Over 1,250 ½ rushing yards (-120)
Under 1,250 ½ rushing yards (-120)
Barkley never seemed himself even after he returned from the foot injury that cost him three games a year ago. And still he managed to climb over 1,000 yards rushing in 2019. When you look closely at the stats, you can see that his efficiency totals didn’t drop off that much from his rookie season in 2018.
Health is a big key with Barkley. He wasn’t the injury-prone type in college, so there’s no reason to believe he’ll have chronic issues. More importantly, in the last month of the season, the explosion started to come back, meaning that there shouldn’t be any lingering effects.
Barkley can gobble up yardage faster than most backs thanks to his ability to churn out long runs. The guess is that he puts up monster numbers in Year 3. As a result, he should be able to leave the over/under number above far behind.
Saquon Barkley: 1,250.5 Rushing Yards-Over (-120)
New York Jets: Sam Darnold
Over 3,599 ½ passing yards (-130)
Under 3,599 ½ passing yards (-110)
Darnold shows flashes, every once in a while, of being everything the New York Jets faithful thought he would be. But those instances have been few and few between in his first two seasons. It hasn’t helped that he’s missed three games in each of those years due to injury or illness.
It would help if the Jets would ever give him a standout receiver to target. But his #1 option, Jamison Crowder, is more of a slot guy. The other receivers on the roster are either veteran journeymen or unproven youngsters without top-notch pedigree.
If he were to play 16 games, Darnold’s yards-per-game in his career would put just barely over the number at 3,624 yards. But his making it through a full season seems like a bit of a long shot. He just feels a little star-crossed, which is why it’s better to sell than buy his shares.
Sam Darnold: 3,599.5 Passing Yards-Under (-110)
Philadelphia Eagles: Miles Sanders
Over 1,000 ½ rushing yards (-130)
Under 1,000 ½ rushing yards (-110)
Sanders was a big-play threat who didn’t touch the ball much in the first half of his rookie season with Philly. When Jordan Howard was injured, the Eagles had no choice but to use him and he paid dividends. The tempting thing would be to extrapolate that production over a full season and project him hitting 1,000 rushing yards.
But Doug Pederson is not the type to hammer one back into the line 20 to 25 times per game. While Sanders was thriving, Boston Scott came out of nowhere with some explosive plays as the new number-two guy. That could mean that he is more in the mix this year.
Sanders is already dinged up with a hamstring injury that could limit his touches early in the year. If it ever lingers, missed time is inevitable. It all adds up to a guy who might not quite take the second-season leap that everyone is expecting.
Miles Sanders: 1,000.5 Rushing Yards –Under (-110)
Pittsburgh Steelers: James Conner
Over 825 ½ rushing yards (-120)
Under 825 ½ rushing yards (-120)
Conner has been all over the map in his three seasons to date. He followed up a quiet rookie season behind Le’Veon Bell with a monster sophomore year in 2018 as Bell was holding out. But last year, he could never get anything going in an injury-plagued, ineffective season.
The 825 number seems a bit modest considering that Conner topped that in 2018 even while missing three games due to injury. This year, he shouldn’t have to worry about teams stacking the box since Ben Roethlisberger is back. It should allow him to start finding holes again like he did two years ago.
You always have to worry about the truth of Coach-speak, but Mike Tomlin just went on record about Conner being his main back. That should give him plenty of opportunities to churn out yards. Even if you project him to miss a few, that number above is extremely gettable.
James Conner: 825.5 Rushing Yards –Over (-120)
San Francisco: Jimmy Garoppolo
Over 3,899 ½ passing yards (-120)
Under 3,899 ½ passing yards (-120)
It only took six years, but Garoppolo finally enjoyed a full NFL season as a starting quarterback. And it ended on the precipice of a world championship. But Garoppolo didn’t get there by putting up gaudy passing stats, as his 3,978 passing yards attest.
It’s no secret that the Niners want to run the ball first and foremost, using it to set up Garoppolo for high-percentage passes. And it is doubtful that formula is going to change. Their defense still looks rough and ready, the running game is stacked with weapons, and the offensive line receives a boost with the acquisition of Trent Williams.
Garoppolo could be considered for the over if only he had a high-impact weapon on the outside. But the Niners’ wideouts are more the type to catch short passes and try to gain some yards by bowling people over, not by running away from them. When your biggest deep threat is your tight end, it can be tough to accumulate a lot of passing yards.
Jimmy Garoppolo: 3,899.5 Passing Yards-Under (-120)
Seattle Seahawks: Russell Wilson
Over 4,000 ½ passing yards (-125)
Under 4,000 ½ passing yards (-115)
The Seattle Seahawks love to run the ball, regardless of the talents of their signal-caller. But the signs are there that the tide could start turning this season. Any team with D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Metcalf on the outside would be crazy not to take advantage of them.
The idea that Wilson doesn’t throw too much is a bit of a misnomer anyway. He topped 4,000 yards for the third time in five years in 2019. It helps that he never misses a game when it comes to those counting statistics.
Seattle also might be weaker on defense than they have been in years, especially if they don’t have the 12th man to help them at home this year. Wilson might be embroiled in a shootout or two in 2020. And he could end up with a career-high in passing yards when all is said and done.
Russell Wilson: 4,000.5 Passing Yards –Over (-125)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Chris Godwin
Over 1,249 ½ yards (-120)
Under 1,249 ½ yards (-120)
Everyone predicted a breakout year for Godwin last year, and he delivered and then some. He lit up defenses with his versatility from the slot to the tune of 1,333 receiving yards. Now he’ll try to provide an encore with Tom Brady under center.
There are some worries about Godwin’s prospects. If Rob Gronkowski looks like himself, the Bucs will have another big body in the middle of the field for Brady to target. And there might be some concern, following Brady’s struggles last year, that Godwin might have been better off with Jameis Winston hurling.
More than likely, though, Godwin is going to be running the routes that Brady loves to throw. Even with a little letup, he will still have enough to go by the over. And there’s a decent possibility that he matches or exceeds what he did a year ago.
Chris Godwin: 1,249.5 Yards –Over (-120)
Tennessee Titans: A.J. Brown
Over 1,074 ½ receiving yards
Under 1,074 ½ receiving yards
Many people associate the Titans with Derrick Henry, and he is undoubtedly the engine that drives their success. But Brown had an exceptional rookie season, one that really took off once Ryan Tannehill got under center in place of erratic Marcus Mariota. During the final stretch of 2020, Brown was one of the most productive receivers in all of football.
Brown was a bit quiet during the playoff run, but that was in part because Henry dominated so thoroughly that he left little breathing room for anybody else. Now in his second year, it won’t take the Titans so long to realize what they have in the lanky receiver. He should be getting heavily targeted right from the beginning of the year.
Brown averaged over 20 yards per catch to his 1,051 receiving yards as a rookie. Look for his catches to take a big jump from 52 in 2019 to over 70 this season, at the very least. If his efficiency stays anywhere near that mark from last year, we could be looking at the closest thing to Randy Moss to hit the NFL since the genuine article himself.
A.J. Brown –1,074.5 Receiving Yards
Washington Football Team: Terry McLaurin
Over 975 ½ receiving yards
Under 975 ½ receiving yards
The Washington Football Team had an ugly 2019, but McLaurin gave them some kind of hope for the future. He entered the league as a speedy guy that most people thought was a deep threat only. But then right from opening week, when he tore up the Eagles, McLaurin looked like an experienced, crafty receiver inside the body of a speed merchant.
If the bet was based on talent alone, McLaurin would seem a shoo-in to go well over 1,000 yards this year. But the worry is that a lot of the damage that he did came early in the season before defenses knew they should be keeping an eye on him. In 2020, he could start to get the kind of shadow coverage reserved for some of the best receivers in the NFL.
The real concern is that the quarterback play for Washington could be among the weakest in the NFL. McLaurin’s former Ohio State teammate Dwayne Haskins is going to have to show a lot more for this offense to really get off the ground. With the talent they have on defense, Washington might try to grind out ugly wins and limit their chances taken, which could mean less balls going deep to McLaurin this season.
Terry McLaurin –Under 975.5 Receiving Yards
We hope that this look at the top individual player prop bets of the 2020 NFL season help you out as you make your wagers at top NFL betting sites. Once you make these bets, you can sit back and watch the year go past while keeping an eye on the performances of the players you’ve targeted. Hopefully, you’ll win big while enjoying the pigskin action.
Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog.
For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h …