On Thursday, November 12th, Bellator will be live from the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut, for Bellator 252: Pitbull vs Carvalho.
The featured fight of the night is a featherweight tournament quarterfinal matchup in addition to a featherweight title bout as Patricio “Pitbull” Freire defends his belt against Pedro Carvalho.
The three fight main card, which begins at 7PM ET on CBS Sports Network and DAZN, has a co-main event of undefeated fighters as Yaroslav Amosov takes on Logan Storley.
The opening contest of the main card is a rematch between Emmanuel Sanchez and Daniel Weichel in another featherweight grand prix quarterfinal matchup. The preliminary card has eight bouts and begins at 5PM ET.
Bellator betting sites have released their odds for the full slate of fights. Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine these odds, identify any potential value, and superman punch these predictions.
Before we get into this Bellator 252 betting guide, we wanted to provide you with our list of the best sites for Bellator betting online. If you’re thinking about Bellator 252 betting, we recommend you do so at one of these sites:
Bellator 252 Preliminary Card
The preliminary card features eight fights with a 5PM ET start time via Bellator’s online site.
Khonry Gracie (2-1) vs Trevor Gudde (1-1)
Khonry Gracie (-450)
Trevor Gudde (+350)
This bout was originally scheduled for Bellator 245 on September 11th, but it was cancelled due to Gracie suffering an injury. Instead of rebooking Gudde, Bellator decided to push the fight back and was able to get it booked for this week’s show.
Trevor Gudde turned pro last year and went 1-1 with Cage Titans FC. He was 6-0 as an amateur, but suffered a loss in his pro debut. Both of his fights have ended in submission. He had just two finishes in his amateur career.
Khonry, the son of legendary MMA fighter Royce Gracie, also lost his pro debut in January 2018. However, he’s been able to bounce back with two straight wins. Yet, he hasn’t fought since August 2019. Gracie picked up a submission win in that fight against Oscar Vera.
This bout is really another opportunity for Bellator to spoon feed the 23 year old Gracie and build him up into a future star. I see no reason why he can’t walk into the cage and force Gudde to tap out before the 3rd round.
Khonry Gracie vs Trevor Gudde –Gracie (-450)
Lucas Brennan (3-0) vs Andrew Salas (6-4)
Lucas Brennan (-360)
Andrew Salas (+285)
Andrew “Ice Cold” Salas has been ice cold over the last few years as he’s dropped three of his last four fights. He last competed in February and lost via unanimous decision. This will be his second fight for Bellator with his first coming three years ago. Salas won that fight via split decision.
Two of his wins have come via stoppage with one victory apiece for submission and TKO/KO. He’s 4-3 when going the distance.
Brennan turned pro last summer and has won his first three contests, with all of them coming in Bellator. He last competed in August and won via 2nd round TKO. All three wins have come via stoppage with two by way of submission.
Here we have another contest where Bellator is helping out their young prospects by giving them beatable opponents. Bellator certainly knows how to bring along a young fighter slowly.
Brennan has showed some good things in his first three contests and I expect that trend to continue this week as he stops Salas and gets his 4th victory.
Lucas Brennan vs Andrew Salas –Brennan (-360)
Gabriel Varga (1-1) vs Brandon Phillips (6-3)
Gabriel Varga (+140)
Brandon Phillips (-170)
The Canadian Gabriel Varga makes his third trip inside the cage with both of his previous fights also coming with Bellator. He debuted as a pro in July 2019 and won via 2nd round TKO. His second fight, which came in February, ended in a split decision loss to Terry Britton.
Brandon Phillips has been with Bellator since July 2016 and has gone 3-2 with the promotion. He won his Bellator debut, but then dropped two in a row. Phillips snapped that losing streak with two straight wins, but hasn’t fought since September 2018.
This is an ugly matchup to wager on. Personally, I would avoid it as we have too many unknowns. We don’t know how Varga will respond to a loss and we also don’t know how Phillips will look after a two year hiatus.
With that said, I’m betting on the moneyline with Varga and the upset. He should be 2-0 right now, but came away with a disappointing split decision loss in his last fight. He has potential and should be able to outlast Phillips in this contest.
Gabriel Varga vs Brandon Phillips –Varga (+140)
Keri Melendez (4-0) vs Emilee King (4-3)
Keri Melendez (-500)
Emilee King (+375)
This fight was originally scheduled for May, but it was postponed when Bellator went on hiatus due to the health pandemic.
Emilee King started off her pro career on a rough note by losing her first three fights. However, she showed perseverance and mental toughness by overcoming the rough start and going on to win four fights in a row including her Bellator debut in January which she beat Knight via 1st round submission.
Three of her four pro wins have come via submission. She’s 1-0 when going the distance. All three of her losses have come via submission.
Keri Melendez, wife of former champ Gilbert Melendez, will make her return to the cage after having last fought 13 months ago. She defeated Mandy Polk via unanimous decision in that contest to improve her record to 4-0.
Two of her four pro wins have come via stoppage with one win apiece for submission and TKO/KO. She’s 2-0 when going the distance.
I give King credit for bouncing back in her career and becoming a decent fighter. However, Melendez has the poise and skills to outlast King in this fight. It could go the full distance, but I think Melendez will be able to get the fight to the mat and score the submission victory.
Keri Melendez vs Emilee King –Melendez (-500)
Jornel Lugo (4-0) vs Schyler Sootho (4-0)
Jornel Lugo (-305)
Schyler Sootho (+245)
Sootho will make his Bellator debut this week and enters the promotion unbeaten in his first four fights. He last competed one year ago and won via submission. Two of his four pro wins have come via stoppage. He’s also 2-0 when going the distance.
Like his opponent, Lugo is also unbeaten in his first four pro fights. However, he did compete for Bellator one year ago and won via unanimous decision. Two of his four pro wins have come via stoppage and he’s also 2-0 when going the distance.
For Lugo, he hopes to get a win and a contract this week:
“I hope that after this fight I’ll be getting a contract. I defiantly want to win this fight and get back in. I think February would be a good time for me. In five years I defiantly want to be fighting for a world championship. I’m not sure where I want to go but I just know I do want to prosper in my sport. Wherever that takes me I’m going to keep winning.”
At just 24 years old, Lugo definitely has room for growth and a lot of potential. He could become another young asset for Bellator as they like to build up a “farm system” of prospects.
I believe Lugo will get this win on Thursday. The only question is whether or not it will go the full 15 minutes.
Jornel Lugo vs Schyler Sootho –Lugo (-305)
Devin Powell (10-4) vs Luis Muro (11-6)
Devin Powell (-280)
Luis Muro (+220)
Despite the listed odds, this fight will be closer and it also has the chance of being the best preliminary card bout.
Luis Muro is a former lightweight champ for the RITC OKC promotion. He has competed twice for Bellator in the past and is 2-0 in those contests. His last fight came 13 months ago when he defeated Nick Newell via split decision in the Bellator cage.
Muro’s first Bellator fight was three years ago where he defeated Emmanuel Rivera via unanimous decision. Four of his 11 pro wins have come via stoppage with two wins apiece for submission and TKO/KO. He’s 7-2 when going the distance.
Devin Powell is a former UFC fighter who went 1-3 inside the octagon. All three of those losses came via decision. He made his Bellator debut 13 months ago and defeated Marcus Surin via 2nd round submission. That was the same show as Muro’s fight vs Newell.
Powell saw Muro on that card and has wanted to fight him since then. When not competing in the cage, Powell is doing stunt work in movies to pay the bills. Yet, he’s really hoping that he can get the win and a higher paying contract with Bellator:
“I’ve been doing stunt work in movies, it pays better than fighting. Unless I get a really good contract, I’ve got to put some serious stuff into consideration. So I really hope they [Bellator] take care of me after this one so I can keep doing this for a while.”
Seven of his 10 pro wins have come via stoppage with four by way of submission. He’s 3-4 when going the distance.
Powell has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. His four pro losses have come via decision. He’s never been stopped. However, Muro has been stopped in four of his six defeats with two of those losses coming via submission.
I’m taking Powell to win this fight via submission. Once he gets Muro to the mat, he will lock in a submission hold for the victory. Hopefully, Powell can get that fat contract he’s after.
Devin Powell vs Luis Muro –Powell (-280)
Roman Faraldo (3-0) vs Pat Casey (6-3)
Roman Faraldo (-285)
Pat Casey (+225)
Pat Casey has competed for Bellator since October 2018, and has compiled a 1-2 record since then. He last fought in September and lost to Daniel Madrid via split decision. He’s lost two in a row, with both fights coming in 2020.
Roman Faraldo recently signed with Bellator and will make his debut this week. The 27 year old trains with American Top Team and last fought in February where he won via 1st round TKO with the Titan FC promotion. All three of his wins have come via TKO/KO within the first two rounds.
Faraldo is a striker with knockout power. He also has the height and reach advantages in this contest. Casey has one TKO/KO loss in his career which came in February.
I’m taking Faraldo to pick up another TKO/KO win Under 1.5 rounds.
Roman Faraldo vs Pat Casey –Faraldo (-285)
Aaron Pico (6-3) vs John de Jesus (13-8)
Aaron Pico (-800)
John de Jesus (+550)
The featured fight of the preliminary card also has the biggest disparity in betting odds as Aaron Pico is the largest betting favorite and de Jesus is the largest betting underdog.
John de Jesus has 21 fights on his pro resume and will pose a tough challenge for Pico this week despite what Bellator betting sites say. He’s on a three fight winning streak including a unanimous decision win in his Bellator debut three months ago.
Seven of his 13 pro wins have come via stoppage with five by way of TKO/KO. He’s 6-4 when going the distance. His other four losses have come via submission.
As for this fight, de Jesus had the following comments about Pico:
“When he was on top of his game, knocking people out, he was on the top of my list. I never really believed into the hype. People like to hype people up who are not necessarily all that great… As far as the skills go, I’m not that impressed. I’ve been in there with the best, been in there a long time. He’s not going to show me anything I haven’t seen before. He says he is going to make it a dirty, gritty fight, come on down man.”
We all know how the Pico hype train was derailed in January 2019 when a 4-1 Pico suffered a 1st round KO loss to Henry Corrales. He followed that up with a 2nd round KO loss to Adam Borics six months later.
Since then, Pico has won two fights in a row both via stoppage. His last fight came in July where he defeated Hatley Jr. via 1st round submission. All six of his pro wins have come via stoppage with five by way of TKO/KO.
This fight can go one of two ways: Pico gets the bout to the mat and scores a stoppage victory or de Jesus puts on the pressure and catches Pico as he’s back pedaling.
Since changing over to Wink MMA last year, Pico has showed a marked improvement with two straight wins. I expect him to get another win this week in a tough matchup.
Eventually, Pico will get de Jesus to the mat where he has the advantage with his wrestling background. Pico will find a chokehold to lock in and score the submission win which will improve his 2020 record to 3-0.
Aaron Pico vs John de Jesus –Pico (-800)
Bellator 252 Main Card
The three fight main card begins at 7PM ET on CBS Sports Network and DAZN.
Daniel Weichel (40-11) vs Emmanuel Sanchez (19-4)
Daniel Weichel (+180)
Emmanuel Sanchez (-220)
This featherweight grand prix quarterfinal bout is a rematch between Daniel Weichel and Emmanuel Sanchez. These two men first fought in July 2016 and Weichel won via split decision. However, he’s a sizable underdog in this week’s rematch.
The winner of this contest will take on the winner of the main event fight of the night: Pitbull vs Carvalho.
Since their first fight, Weichel has gone 3-2 with losses to Pitbull and Goiti Yamauchi. He last fought 13 months ago and beat Saul Rogers via unanimous decision. 27 of his 40 pro wins have come via stoppage with 22 by way of submission. He’s 13-3 when going the distance.
Sanchez has gone 6-1 since his loss to Weichel. The lone defeat came to Pitbull two years ago. He’s rebounded with two straight wins and last fought 13 months ago when he defeated Claxton via 2nd round submission.
Nine of his 19 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of submission. He’s 10-4 when going the distance.
Sanchez has appeared to have gotten better since the first bout against Weichel as he’s scored three submission victories in his last three wins. Whereas, Weichel has had four split decisions in the last four years with just one stoppage victory in his last nine bouts.
This rematch will come down to how wells Sanchez defends the takedown. He did a good job in the first fight only allowing just one takedown. Yet, that takedown is why some judges gave Weichel the split decision win.
I am going with Sanchez in this fight. I believe he’s the better fighter at this point in their respective careers. He could possibly find a finish in this contest, but the smart play is on this bout to go the distance. This time, Sanchez gets the nod from the judges.
Daniel Weichel vs Emmanuel Sanchez –Sanchez (-220)
Yaroslav Amosov (24-0) vs Logan Storley (11-0)
Yaroslav Amosov (-240)
Logan Storley (+190)
The co-main event is a welterweight clash between two undefeated fighters looking to get one step closer to a title fight in Bellator.
Logan Storley has gone 6-0 in Bellator with his last fight coming one year ago where he defeated Brooks via TKO. Storley is a four time Division I All-American wrestler, but also has knockout power as eight of his 11 pro wins have come via TKO/KO.
Only three of his fights have gone the distance, but that was more so due to his opponents just surviving. Storley suffocates his foes when in top position on the mat and relentlessly goes for a takedown. Storley will have the strength and power advantages in this matchup.
You don’t see the Brabo Choke often, but the undefeated @YaroslavAmosov pulled it off flawlessly.
Yaroslav Amosov has the longest win streak in MMA now that Khabib Nurmagomedov has “retired.” He’s gone 5-0 in Bellator since joining the promotion a little over two years ago. He last fought in August and defeated Lemminger via 1st round TKO.
19 of his 24 pro wins have come via stoppage with 10 by way of submission. He’s 5-0 when going the distance.
Amosov is the better striker between the two fighters. He might not have the power advantage, but he is more creative and smoother in his technical approach. He also has a sambo background which should help him fare well in the grappling exchanges. Look how well he fared against Harris in his debut.
This is going to be a close fight. It could also be the fight of the night. In the end, I expect Amosov to get his hand raised as he will score enough points through striking and defend the takedowns well enough to not allow Storley to put him into any serious trouble. Storley is a live dog in this fight.
Yaroslav Amosov vs Logan Storley –Amosov (-240)
Patricio Freire (30-4) vs Pedro Carvalho (11-3)
Patricio Freire (-625)
Pedro Carvalho (+450)
The main event of the night has the 2nd biggest disparity in betting odds with the featherweight champion Pitbull being a large betting favorite.
Carvalho enters this contest on a six fight win streak which includes going 4-0 with Bellator. He last fought 13 months ago and defeated Sam Sicilia via 2nd round submission. Pedro has three straight wins via stoppage and hasn’t lost in five years.
Eight of his 11 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of submission. He’s 3-1 when going the distance.
Despite being a large underdog, Carvalho is confident heading into this title fight and feels that the pace he sets will be too much for Pitbull to handle:
“I do believe what I’m going to have in my favor is with no doubt my conditioning, my pace. These guys, when they reach the third round they start to slow down. When I reach the third round, I’m warmed up. I do believe that’s going to be the major thing in this fight is going to be me constantly on his face, Make him work and then when I found the breaking point I’m just going to pick my shots and put him away.”
Freire is a “champ champ” for Bellator and one of the best fighters not in the UFC. He’s won five straight fights since suffering a leg injury in his loss to Benson Henderson four years ago. Pitbull is 18-4 in Bellator as he’s been with the promotion for over a decade now.
I admire Carvalho’s confidence, but I don’t see a path to victory in this contest. Freire is just too good. I expect Pitbull to overpower Carvalho by closing the distance in a hurry. From there, Pitbull can either take the fight to the mat or stay upright and drop bombs.
Either way, Freire will win this contest and move on to the next round of the featherweight grand prix where he will most likely take on Emmanuel Sanchez who he defeated in November 2018. He also defeated Daniel Weichel in July 2018. Pitbull should get to the tournament finals.
Pitbull vs Pedro Carvalho –Freire (-625)
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed “King of the Blog” in his first year with the site. …