With one last Grand Slam still left to play in the 2021 ATP season, world’s number one men’s tennis star Novak Djokovic is listed as a massive betting favorite to win the 2021 US Open.
It should come as no surprise that Djokovic is the odds on favorite to win since he’s already captured the first three Grand Slams if this calendar year.
However, what is slightly surprising is just how big of a betting favorite Djokovic is with the best tennis betting sites.
Let’s take a look at this tennis futures bet, breakdown the chances of the top tennis players dethroning “The Djoker,” and ace our US Open betting predictions.
US Open Betting Odds
The following US Open betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
- Novak Djokovic (-105)
- Daniil Medvedev (+600)
- Dominic Thiem (+600)
- Rafael Nadal (+600)
- Roger Federer (+800)
- Alexander Zverev (+1200)
- Stefanos Tsitsipas (+1200)
- Matteo Berrettini (+2800)
- Andrey Rublev (+3300)
- Denis Shapovalov (+3300)
- Jannik Sinner (+3300)
- Milos Raonic (+3300)
- Stan Wawrinka (+5000)
- Felix Auger Aliassime (+6600)
- Pablo Carreno-Busta (+6600)
- Roberto Bautista-Agut (+8000)
Novak Djokovic Is Chasing History
On July 11th, Novak Djokovic secured his spot in the debate of who’s the greatest tennis player of all-time when he defeated Matteo Berrettini in four sets (6-7, 6-4, 6-4, 6-3) to win the 2021 Wimbledon Grand Slam.
It was his 6th career Wimbledon title and his third in a row if you don’t include last year’s cancelled event. More importantly, it was the 20th career Grand Slam championship for Novak who is now tied with Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal for the most Grand Slam wins all-time.
However, where Nadal and Federer are nearing the end of their illustrious careers, Djokovic appears to have more gas left in the tank. In fact, he’s on the cusp of separating himself from other all-time greats if he can win the 2021 US Open.
Djokovic has already captured the first three Grand Slams this year. He defeated Daniil Medvedev in the Australian Open, Stefanos Tsitipas in the French Open, and Berrettini at Wimbledon.
“The Djoker” is looking to become the first man to win all four Grand Slams in the same year since Rod Laver did it 1969. Additionally, he is aiming to win his 21st career Grand Slam title which would put him in sole possession of the all-time record.
Djokovic has already won the US Open three times in his career. But, last year, he was disqualified from the US Open for hitting a ball out of frustration which ended up smashing into a lineswoman in the neck area.
Novak hasn’t won the US Open since 2018. But the sport’s top star has won eight of the last 12 Grand Slam titles and is arguably on the best run of his illustrious career.
Do the Young Guns Have a Chance?
Last year, we got a taste of what life would be like in men’s tennis without Federer, Nadal and Djokovic. As mentioned, Djokovic was disqualified, but Federer was out with an injury and Nadal chose not to defend his title due to covid.
The absence of these three legendary players opened the door for the young guns of tennis to step up and take advantage of a career defining opportunity. And, that’s exactly what Dominic Thiem did when he beat Alexander Zverev for the 2020 US Open title.
However, that was last year and this year Djokovic is playing like “The Goat.” Do any of these young guns have a shot at dethroning Novak?
- Daniil Medvedev (+600) – In two Grand Slam matches against each other, Djokovic has won both matchups and has taken six of the seven sets.
- Dominic Thiem (+600) – Thiem has had the most success against Djokovic in Grand Slam play having defeated Novak twice at Roland Garros. However, on other surfaces, Djokovic has soundly beat Thiem including in the Finals of the 2020 Australian Open.
- Alexander Zverev (+1200) – Like Medvedev, Zverev has also only captured a single set out of seven in the two Grand Slam matches against Djokovic. Most recently, Novak dispatched of Zverev in the QF of the 2021 Australian Open.
Ultimately, if you combine the next wave of ATP stars (Berrettini, Medvedev, Tsitsipas, Zverev, and Shapovalov) they’re a combined 0-10 in Grand Slam matches against the great Novak Djokovic.
What About Nadal and Federer?
Combined, Nadal, Federer and Djokovic have won 60 of the last 72 Grand Slam titles. That’s an amazing accomplishment that we will never see happen again in the sport of tennis.
As mentioned above, both Nadal and Federer were absent in last year’s US Open which was the first time since the 1999 US Open that both of these stars were absent from a Grand Slam.
When Djokovic was disqualified from the 2020 US Open, it marked the first time since the 2004 French Open that at least one of Nadal, Federer or Djokovic weren’t in a Grand Slam Semifinal.
Roger Federer (+800) is coming off two knee surgeries and a limited season so far. He was bounced from Wimbledon in the Quarterfinals and had a setback with his knee that forced him to skip the Olympics. There is a chance that he could return for the US Open.
Even if he does, Federer will be turning 40 and his best days are behind him. Plus, he’s 6-11 against Djokovic in Grand Slams. Novak has won six straight times they’ve met in a Grand Slam and eight of the last nine. He’s also won three straight times against Federer in the US Open.
Rafael Nadal (+600) will also skip the Olympics and is focusing on returning for the US Open. He was absent from Wimbledon due to health reasons.
The Nadal vs Djokovic rivalry is the greatest feud in the history of men’s tennis in my opinion. These two have played against each other 58 times with Novak holding a 30-28 advantage.
However, it’s Nadal that has the Grand Slam advantage with a 10-7 head to head record. But, I must point out that nine of those meetings were at the French Open where Nadal is king.
Against Raf at the other three Grand Slams, Djokovic is 2-0 in the Australian Open, 2-1 at Wimbledon, and 1-2 in the US Open.
It should be noted that these two haven’t faced each other in the US Open since the 2013 finals. All three of their meetings came in the US Open Finals.
Will Anyone Stop Djokovic From Winning the US Open?
In short, the answer is NO!
Djokovic has made it to the US Open Finals eight times and won three of them. Despite losing three of those Finals appearances to Nadal and Federer, Djokovic is on another level right now than those two legends.
The last two US Opens were disappointments for Djokovic, but he’s highly motived to win this year’s Grand Slam and to rewrite the tennis history books.
Right now, there’s still plenty of value with Novak’s odds of -105. I expect these odds to increase at betting sites for the US open by the time the tournament starts and when we see the Draw.
The only other player who has any realistic shot at dethroning Djokovic at the US Open is Rafael Nadal. But, that would take a completely healthy Nadal, which we haven’t seen much of these last two years, and a subpar Djokovic.
As for wagering on this futures bet, hammer Djokovic’s odds and place a very small flier on Nadal.
Novak Djokovic to Win the 2021 US Open (-105)
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